Five Tipton County-area high school baseball and softball teams are still alive in the postseason march to Murfreesboro, the site of the state tournaments.

The baseball and softball teams at Covington and Tipton-Rosemark Academy are still playing, as is Brighton baseball.

Division II, which TRA plays in, and Division I (Covington, Brighton) do their postseasons in very different ways.

Teams in DII play a region tournament and the teams that do the best in that move on to a best-of-three sub-state series, the winners of which move on to state. Covington and Brighton play region semifinal games Monday. The losers are done and the winners move to the region title game Wednesday. Region winners host Friday's sectional game, the winner of which goes to state. Region title game losers travel for a sectional game.

Which teams will make it? Which won’t? I attempt to answer those questions below.

Team: Covington Chargers

What’s next: Covington will host a region semifinal game Monday against an opponent to be determined.

The skinny: Covington will run-rule whatever team happens to emerge from District 16-AA in Monday’s game and that will set up a rematch vs. Haywood Wednesday in the region title game. The Chargers went 4-0 vs. Haywood this season. Two of the games were competitive and two were not. You’d figure they’d get past that one and host a sectional game next Friday. Win or lose that region title game, Covington will have to beat a pretty good team in a sectional to make it to Murfreesboro for a third straight season. Possible sectional opponents are Dyersburg, South Gibson, McNairy Central and Chester County.

Odds of making it to the ‘Boro: 75 percent

Team: Brighton Cardinals

What’s next: Brighton will host a region semifinal game against Arlington on Monday.

The skinny: The Cardinals beat Arlington 6-4 on March 14 and 3-1 on March 25, but this will be a tough game that could go either way. These two teams played in this same round last year in Brighton and Arlington ended Brighton’s season with a 3-0 win. If Brighton can get past this game it will have to beat Houston or Collierville in a sectional game. Brighton lost to Houston during the regular season and beat Collierville. Brighton has never played in a state tournament (The school opened in 1996) and has only made it to the sectionals once, in 2007.

Chances of making it to the ‘Boro: 25 percent

Team: TRA Rebels

What’s next: Rosemark travels to Nashville Saturday morning to play Grace Christian in an elimination game. If the Rebels win that they will play Goodpasture in a best-of-three sub-state series next week.

The skinny: Considering TRA has not played either one of these teams this year and they are on the other side if the state, making predictions is difficult to do. But know this: The Rebels took this same postseason rout last season, made it to Murfreesboro and finished as the state runnerup, so they know what it takes.

Chances of making it to the ‘Boro: 50 percent

Team: Covington Lady Chargers

What’s next: Covington will host the runnerup from District 16-AA in a region semifinal game on Monday.

The skinny: The Lady Chargers will be playing, how should I say this to be nice, an inferior team Monday that they will beat handily to move into the region title game to face Bolivar, a team they handled relatively easily this season four times. Next comes a sectional game, which has not gone well in recent years for the Lady Chargers. Covington has finished a win away from state the last four years, losing in the sectionals each time. Covington advanced to the state tournament every season from 1998 to 2010, but has not been back since.

Chances of making it to the ‘Boro: 50 percent

Team: TRA Lady Rebels

What’s next: Rosemark will play Silverdale or Friendship Christian in a best-of-three sub-state series next week.

The skinny: By virtue of winning their second straight region title last week, the Lady Rebels got a bye into sub-state and are two wins away from making a second straight state tournament appearance. The Lady Rebels are very familiar with Silverdale, which beat them in the state title game last season.

Chances of making it to the ‘Boro: 75 percent

Jeff Ireland is The Leader's sports editor. To contact him, call 901-476-7116 or email jireland@covingtonleader.com.​

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